[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 141541
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141541 
FLZ000-141645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0289
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0941 AM CST MON MAR 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 141541Z - 141645Z

CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INLAND BETWEEN PIE AND CTY AND
MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO NEAR SEVERE LEVELS. THREAT
APPEARS TO BE ISOLATED AND CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA...SO WW NOT
ANTICIPATED ATTM. THE SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA WILL
BE MOVED SWD INTO THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA AREA ON THE 1630Z
OUTLOOK.

STORMS ARE MOVING EWD AT 35-40 MPH ONTO THE FL COAST WITH
STRENGTHENING UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
RESULTING IN 50-60 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR. LAPSE RATES ARE NOT VERY
STEEP AND INSTABILITY IS WEAK ATTM.  HOWEVER...THE SPEED OF STORMS
AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED GUSTS TO NEAR 60
MPH...ESPECIALLY AS STORMS MOVE EWD ACROSS THE PENINSULA WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 80 DEGREES.

..IMY.. 03/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

28888260 29058173 29108108 28238090 28098273 

WWWW