[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 062308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062308 
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-070115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0260
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL AND NERN KS THROUGH SERN NEB AND EXTREME SW
IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 062308Z - 070115Z

THUNDERSTORM INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT FROM N CNTRL AND NERN KS
THROUGH SERN NEB. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
AND HAIL. 

EARLY THIS EVENING...A DRYLINE/SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SERN NEB
SWWD THROUGH N CNTRL KS JUST W OF CONCORDIA TO JUST E OF HAYS.
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA SHOW VERY
LITTLE CAP...AND POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP MAY INCREASE
DURING THE NEXT HOUR AS FORCING FOR DEEP LAYER ASCENT INCREASES IN
ADVANCE OF STRONG VORT MAX DROPPING SEWD AND AS THE BOUNDARY
INTERCEPTS THE LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS. INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED
WITH MLCAPE AOB 500 J/KG. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR A THREAT FOR HAIL.
ALSO...20+ LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS MAY ENHANCE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND...ESPECIALLY AS THE WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASES DURING THE EVENING.

..DIAL.. 03/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

38689848 39939750 40939687 40969543 40159523 38659685
38249823 

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