[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011311
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011311 
MEZ000-NHZ000-011745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0249
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0711 AM CST TUE MAR 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...MAINE

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 

VALID 011311Z - 011745Z

BAND OF MDT/HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION NWD ACROSS MAINE
THIS MORNING...WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR COMMON. IN
ADDITION...INCREASINGLY STRONG NELY WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

AT 12Z...APPROX 983 MB SFC LOW LOCATED OFF SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST
ABOUT 100 E ACK. AS SFC CYCLONE CONTINUES TO TRANSITION NEWD TOWARD
COASTAL MAINE THIS MORNING...LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME/UPPER JET DIV
COUPLED WITH REMNANT FRONTOGENETICAL COMPONENT /600-800 MB/ WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO NWD TRANSLATION OF STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT. AS NOTED
IN 12Z GYX RAOB...09Z RUC FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A NWD EXTRAPOLATION
OF VERTICAL PROFILES FEATURING STRONG UVVS COINCIDENT WITH
FAVORABLE/DEEP DENDRITIC LAYER.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NELY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS MORNING...WITH SFC WIND GUSTS HAVING
ALREADY REACHED 30+ KTS INVOF COASTAL MAINE. IN ACCORDANCE WITH 09Z
RUC GUIDANCE DEPICTION OF 50-60 KT 850 WINDS TRANSITIONING NWD
ACROSS MAINE THROUGH 18Z...SIMILAR VELOCITIES SEEN IN 1-2 KM LAYERS
OF GYX/CBW WSR-88D VADS.

..GUYER.. 03/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

47396819 46936775 45976766 45656771 44236969 43747076
44477111 45277079 46227006 47216947 

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