[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 291946
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291945 
MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-292145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1542
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0245 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...KS/SERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 291945Z - 292145Z

...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL BEING MONITORED ACROSS KS AND SERN NEB.
WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY WITHIN AN HOUR...

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM GARDEN CITY TO
JUST NORTH OF HAYS AND THEN INTO SERN NEB. FIRST SIGNS OF SFC BASED
CUMULUS ARE NOTED ON LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...COINCIDENT
WITH DEEPER MIXING. AIRMASS IS BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB THROUGH THE 90S TO AROUND 100 AT RUSSELL. STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND 40-50 KT OF FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SEVERE TSTMS
ONCE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS COMPLETELY ERODED. IN ADDITION 18Z NAM
SUGGESTS A LINE OF STORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. MAIN
THREAT WITH STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..TAYLOR.. 06/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

37349826 37000191 38290198 38680070 39229934 40869681
40539568 38319628 

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