[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 291756
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291756 
INZ000-ILZ000-292000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1540
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND ERN IL INTO CNTRL IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 291756Z - 292000Z

...THREAT FOR PULSE SEVERE TSTMS APPEARS TO BE INCREASING FOR SEVERE
STORMS ACROSS NRN/ERN IL INTO CNTRL IND...

DEVELOPING WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST NORTH OF DBQ NEAR FEP/JOT IN
NRN IL AND THEN INTO NRN IND WITH A LAKE BREEZE EVIDENT ACROSS
EXTREME NERN IL WEST OF ORD. STORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE
ACROSS NERN IL AS THE AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. TEMPERATURES
HAVE WARMED INTO UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S WITH VERY MOIST DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOW/MID 70S WITH NO CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. 18Z SOUNDING FROM
DAVENPORT IA SUGGESTS DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS AROUND 25 KT...SO
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS WILL BE FAVORED GIVEN MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS
UPDRAFTS...AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH LARGE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE. AREA
WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

..TAYLOR.. 06/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

39148503 39438823 41528976 42068972 42068886 41398730
40958517 39878492 

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