[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 290334
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290334 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-290500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1533
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1034 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SWRN NEB...NERN CO...SERN PANHANDLE OF NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 548...

VALID 290334Z - 290500Z

INITIAL SEVERE TSTMS OVER LOGAN COUNTY CO DISSIPATED AS THEY MOVED
INTO MORE UNSTABLE/MOIST AIR MASS...BUT ALSO MORE STRONGLY CAPPED
ENVIRONMENT.  MODIFIED LBF RAOB AND RUC SOUNDINGS SHOW 2000-3000
J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE AND 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR...BUT ALSO STRONG
CINH.  OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM PREVIOUSLY SEVERE FRONT RANGE
CONVECTION IS MOVING NEWD ACROSS KIMBALL COUNTY NEB...EXTREME WRN
LOGAN/ERN MORGAN COUNTIES CO AS OF 315Z.  GLACIATING CONVECTIVE
TOWERS HAVE BEEN INDICATED OVER MORGAN COUNTY ON IR IMAGERY. 
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN WW IS NONEXISTENT ATTM...HOWEVER AIR MASS
ACROSS WW AREA REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE FROM ANY CONVECTION
WHICH MAY DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  THEREFORE WRN PORTION WW
SHOULD BE MAINTAINED FOR TIME BEING.  HOWEVER...SUCH CONVECTION
WOULD NOT REACH ERN COUNTIES OF WW BEFORE SCHEDULED 5Z
EXPIRATION...FROM HITCHCOCK NWD TO MCPHERSON AND FARTHER E...AND
THOSE AREAS MAY BE CLEARED FROM THIS WW.

..EDWARDS.. 06/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

39979988 39960273 41900318 41890028 

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