[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280053 
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-280300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1513
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/SCENTRAL SD...ERN WY AND WRN NEB....NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 537...

VALID 280053Z - 280300Z

ISOLATED SUPERCELL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF WW 537 AND ACROSS
LOGAN COUNTY IN NERN CO THROUGH 02Z WITH THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES REMAINING POSSIBLE. A NEW WW SOUTH OF WW 537 IS NOT
EXPECTED SINCE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOCALIZED TO ONE OR TWO COUNTIES
SOUTH OF WW 537 BEFORE STORM DISSIPATES.

FARTHER NORTH...CLUSTER OF SVR STORMS OVER SWRN SD WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST TOWARDS SCENTRAL SD AND A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH
MLCAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG. GIVEN LIMITED INFLOW EXPECTED INTO
SCENTRAL SD THIS EVENING WITH LOW LEVEL JET AXIS PROGGED TO REMAIN
FURTHER SOUTH INTO SERN NEB...AND LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND
INCREASING CINH...A NEW WW EAST OF WW 537 DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY
ATTM. HOWEVER TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS. SVR THREAT AND ADDITIONAL REDEVELOPMENT AND STRENGTHENING OF
CONVECTION STILL APPEAR POSSIBLE OVER FAR ECENTRAL/NERN WY AND FAR
SWRN SD ALONG OUTFLOW AND DRYLINE BOUNDARIES AND AHEAD OF WRN WY
SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

..CROSBIE.. 06/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...

45010199 42210053 41069997 40770316 41150366 44930591 

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