[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 241755
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241754 
MIZ000-WIZ000-241900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WI...NRN LOWER MI AND THE U.P.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516...

VALID 241754Z - 241900Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WI...NRN
LOWER MI AND THE UPPER MI PENINSULA UNTIL 22Z. MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
SEVERE STORMS DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO IS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MI PENINSULA.

A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED IN WRN WI AT 17Z...WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF THE FRONT. CLOUDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES HAS REDUCED THE THREAT FOR SEVERE ALONG THE FRONT.
HOWEVER...STORMS MAY STILL DEVELOP IN ERN WI ALONG AND EAST OF THE
BOUNDARY...BUT VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS VERY LITTLE SURFACE BASED CU
ATTM...SO CAP IS STILL IN PLACE DESPITE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
90S.

THE CAP IS WEAKER ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN... WHICH
HAS ALLOWED CONSIDERABLE CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA...ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. MLCAPES BETWEEN 1000-2000
J/KG AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD AID IN THESE STORMS
BECOMING SEVERE AS THEY SPREAD ENEWD.

..IMY.. 06/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...ARX...

46198712 46688607 46858493 46728403 44888408 44428771
43939077 44239092 44538942 45258791 

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