[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172209 
MTZ000-WYZ000-180015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1378
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0509 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 495...

VALID 172209Z - 180015Z

LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF
CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL MT...SUGGESTING STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO
INGEST STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE WHERE CIN HAS ERODED.
MODIFIED 18Z GGW SOUNDING CONFIRMS LITTLE INHIBITION IN PLACE AND
FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILE FOR SUPERCELLS. GIVEN VERY STRONG STORM
RELATIVE INFLOW / INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET / AND CONTINUED
HEATING...STORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND E OF A LIBERTY TO STILLWATER COUNTY
LINE. AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF NERN MT...AS
STORMS MOVE QUICKLY NERN OUT OF WW 495.

..JEWELL.. 06/17/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...MSO...

44980807 45001198 48951331 48980911 

WWWW