[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 171826
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171826 
MTZ000-171930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND WRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 171826Z - 171930Z

SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A WW WILL BE REQUIRED.


CONTINUED HEATING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ALONG WITH BROAD AREA OF
55-60+ SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR MDT INSTABILITY TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. GIVEN DEGREE OF FORCING AND STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE...STORM MOTIONS WILL BE QUITE FAST
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL LIKELY. ISOLATED TORNADOES
CANNOT BE RULED OUT...WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL WITHIN SURFACE MOIST
AXIS WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE BACKED AND LCL HEIGHTS LOWEST.

..JEWELL.. 06/17/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...MSO...

48960855 46890846 45100943 45031200 45721230 46351248
48931338 

WWWW