[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 151950
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151950 
KSZ000-COZ000-152145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1355
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE CO...NW KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 151950Z - 152145Z

STORMS WILL LIKELY INITIATE AND MOVE ESEWD INTO WRN KS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE CONVECTION WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
WIND DAMAGE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDING
NWD THROUGH WRN KS INTO WRN NEB. A FEW STORMS ARE CURRENTLY
INITIATING IN ERN CO ALONG A BOUNDARY ORIENTED EAST TO WEST ACROSS
KIT CARSON COUNTY. A CAPPING INVERSION OVER THE AREA HAS WEAKENED
SOMEWHAT AND THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SFC-BASED AS THEY MOVE ESEWD
INTO NW KS THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 06/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

37649984 38740217 39300254 39820187 39750002 38399844 

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