[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 131633
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131633 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-131830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1326
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE SD/NRN NEB/SW MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 131633Z - 131830Z

HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE AS CELLS DEVELOP
ACROSS SERN SD AND NRN NEB OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A SFC LOW IN NRN NEB WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SWD ACROSS ECNTRL NEB. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS NEWD
FROM THE SFC LOW ACROSS SERN SD INTO SW MN. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY ALONG WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY IS HELPING NEW
SFC-BASED CELLS TO INITIATE IN SERN SD. THE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING
BENEATH AN UPPER-LOW WITH A DRY SLOT PUNCHING NWWD INTO SE SD AROUND
THE UPPER-LOW. RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DRY SLOT WITH 500 MB TEMPS RANGING FROM -16 TO -18C. THIS IS
CREATING STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS...WITH ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

..BROYLES.. 06/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...

42810033 43549995 44569811 44799633 44529413 43639402
43619591 43349753 42449917 42330012 

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