[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 131601
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131601 
WIZ000-131800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1325
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1101 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 131601Z - 131800Z

DEVELOPING CONVECTION ACROSS WI COULD HAVE A HAIL AND/OR MARGINAL
WIND DAMAGE THREAT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO ISOLATED TO WARRANT A WW ATTM.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A POCKET OF 70+ SFC DEWPOINTS IN SRN AND CNTRL WI
WHICH IS LOCALLY ENHANCING INSTABILITY. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE
CAPPING INVERSION NEARLY GONE ACROSS SRN AND CNTR WI. IN
ADDITION...A VORTICITY LOBE IS ANALYZED BY THE RUC OVER ERN IA AND
NRN IL. AS THIS FEATURE LIFTS NWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO
WI...LIFT WILL INCREASE AND STORMS SHOULD INITIATE AND EXPAND IN
COVERAGE. THE PROFILER IN SW WI CURRENTLY SHOWS 25 KT AT 6 KM AND
THIS MAY INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON SUGGESTING A SEVERE THREAT MAY
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. HAIL AND A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT
MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CELLS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

..BROYLES.. 06/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

43688754 42858785 42618868 42758951 43469052 44359156
45089184 45719050 45338911 44588795 

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