[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 121509
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121508 
OKZ000-TXZ000-121615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1008 AM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX PNHDL INTO NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121508Z - 121615Z

POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS MAY TEND TO INCREASE FROM THE
FAR ERN TX PNHDL INTO NWRN OK LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

A COMPLEX WEATHER SITUATION EXISTS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE TX
PNHDL/WRN TX INTO WRN OK. ELEVATED TSTMS WHICH DEVELOPED EARLIER
TODAY OVER THE TX PNHDL APPEAR TO BE ORGANIZING A COLD POOL WITH
STORMS BECOMING MORE LINEAR FROM OCHILTREE SWD INTO DONLEY COUNTIES
OF THE ERN TX PNHDL. WHILE IMMEDIATE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS THE
FAR ERN TX PNHDL INTO NWRN OK LIKELY REMAINS SOMEWHAT STABLE FOR
SURFACE-BASED PARCELS...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS W-CNTRL/SWRN AND
CNTRL OK INDICATE A NWWD SURGE IN UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS
WITH AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM N OF CDS TO N OF HBR
TO NEAR PNC.

AS ONGOING LINE OF STORMS ENCOUNTERS NWRN EDGE OF RICHER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NWRN INTO N-CNTRL OK. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AND A
NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

..MEAD.. 06/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

35180057 35910049 36579938 36739792 36569721 35989723
35509805 35239885 34790003 

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