[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061834
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061834 
TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-062100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO/NE AR/SRN IL INTO WRN/CNTRL KY AND SRN IN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061834Z - 062100Z

THREAT FOR PULSE-TYPE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND AT LEAST MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL...TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO FROM SE MO/NE
AR/SRN IL INTO WRN/CNTRL KY AND SRN IN. SEVERE WATCH NOT
ANTICIPATED.

PLENTIFUL INSOLATION HAS ALLOWED AIRMASS THAT IS 1) DOWNSTREAM OF
ERN MO MCV 2) ALONG/SOUTH OF WEAK SYNOPTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
SRN IL/SRN IN AND 3) NORTH OF WRN TN COLD POOL TO QUICKLY
DESTABILIZE. RELATIVELY MODEST DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /20-30 KTS
PER REGIONAL PROFILERS AND WSR-88D VADS/ AND AFOREMENTIONED FEATURES
WILL LEAD TO SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/OHIO VALLEY.

HOT/MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PROMOTE DAMAGING WIND GUST THREAT.
OVERALL THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED TO PRECLUDE WATCH
ISSUANCE...HOWEVER REGION WILL BE UPGRADED TO CATEGORICAL SLIGHT
RISK IN UPCOMING 20Z CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

..GUYER.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

35658603 36188726 36139004 36239094 36849066 37598993
38278984 39138872 39188729 38388537 36458455 35998498 

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