[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061520
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061520 
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-061615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MS/SWRN INTO CENTRAL AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061520Z - 061615Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN VERY MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER AIR MASS ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM SERN MS TO WRN FL PANHANDLE
AND NNEWD INTO CENTRAL AL.

SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A WEAK BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NWRN GA TO
SWRN AL.  THIS BOUNDARY THEN EXTENDED WSWWD ACROSS FAR SERN MS/LA AS
A SEA BREEZE.  MARITIME AIR MASS WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID
70S ALONG THE COAST.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SURFACE HEATING
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO
WEAKEN THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION...AS INDICATED BY DEVELOPING CU
ACROSS AL INTO THE FL PANHANDLE.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK
FOR ORGANIZED STORMS.  HOWEVER...VAD WIND DATA INDICATED A BAND OF
25-30 KT FLOW IN THE 3-6 KM LAYER ON THE SE PERIPHERY OF THE MS MCV.
THESE WINDS MAY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR A LOCALIZED STRONG WIND
GUST AND/OR HAIL APPROACHING SEVERE LEVELS GIVEN AN AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION.

..PETERS.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

30768888 31098861 31578847 32258824 32498816 32798753
32418668 31368629 30498622 30068699 29598821 29458921
29798951 

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