[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061500
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061459 
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-061630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1195
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0959 AM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TN INTO MIDDLE TN/FAR NW AL

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 061459Z - 061630Z

SOME THREAT FOR PULSE-TYPE/EPISODIC MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL/WIND MAY
DEVELOP OVER NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS WRN TN INTO MIDDLE TN/FAR NW
AL.

SURFACE MESOANALYSIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH SATELLITE/VOLUMETRIC RADAR
TRENDS SUGGESTS RELATIVELY WELL ORGANIZED COLD POOL APPEARS TO BE
DRIVING CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS NNE ACROSS FAR NRN MS AT THIS TIME.
DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS ACROSS WRN TN INTO MIDDLE TN ALREADY WARM/MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH 80S/70S SFC TEMPERATURES AND
DEWPOINTS RESPECTIVELY. IN SPITE OF WEAK AMBIENT/VERTICAL SHEAR SEEN
IN MEMPHIS AND NASHVILLE WSR-88D VADS...COLD POOL ORGANIZATION MAY
LEAD TO PULSE-TYPE SEVERE EPISODES ACROSS WRN TN INTO MIDDLE TN/FAR
NW AL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..GUYER.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...

35009013 35629025 36098956 36238757 35868650 35208627
34588667 34438759 34808798 35078881 

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