[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061646
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061646 
PAZ000-MDZ000-NYZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-061745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1197
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 AM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN-SERN OH/WRN PA INTO NRN WV/PORTIONS OF WRN MD
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413...

VALID 061646Z - 061745Z

WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MUCH OF ERN-SERN OH INTO WRN PA AND NRN WV/
WRN MD PANHANDLE.  GIVEN THIS NEW THREAT AND ITS POTENTIAL TO MOVE
INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW 413...COUNTIES ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF WW 413
WILL NOT BE REMOVED IN UPCOMING SPC STATUS MESSAGES.

16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM NERN OH TO
NEAR CMH TO SRN IND...WITH VIS IMAGERY SHOWING CU DEVELOPING ALONG/E
OF THIS FRONT WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. SURFACE
HEATING HAS ELIMINATED THE LOW LEVEL NOCTURNAL INVERSION AND IS
RESULTING IN CURRENT MLCAPE VALUES UP TO 2000 J/KG.  THUS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT.  STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW OVER OH VALLEY IS SUPPORTING AT
LEAST 40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR.  OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS WRN PA...LEFT
OVER FROM EARLIER STORMS...WILL ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR FOR A
TORNADO THREAT.  OTHERWISE...UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELD ELSEWHERE
WITH 40 KT WSWLY WINDS BETWEEN 2-3 KM PER VAD WIND DATA AT
CLE/ILN/PBZ WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

..PETERS.. 06/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...

37688301 39418292 41748078 42817817 39717833 

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