[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050752 
WIZ000-ILZ000-050915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 AM CDT SUN JUN 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WI...ERN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 397...401...

VALID 050752Z - 050915Z

WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS
EMBEDDED IN A LINE ORIENTED FROM SERN WI SWD ACROSS WRN IL. THE
GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE ALONG THE MIDDLE TO NRN END OF THE
LINE ACROSS NE IL AND FAR SERN WI. FARTHER SOUTH...THE LINE HAS
WEAKENED AND ANOTHER WW FARTHER EAST IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL JET LOCATED FROM MO
EXTENDING NNEWD ACROSS IL AND SERN WI. A CONVECTIVE LINE IS LOCATED
ALONG THE AXIS OF THE JET WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY LOCATED JUST
AHEAD OF THE LINE. A 50 KT MID-LEVEL JET IS NOSING INTO WI WHICH IS
CREATING MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS WI AND FAR NRN IL. THIS
MAY ALLOW CONVECTION TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS BUT THE
SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DECREASING. AS A RESULT...THE CURRENT
WWS WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED.

..BROYLES.. 06/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...

44478991 45148939 44738806 43578742 41658758 39288920
39188978 39439039 41828912 43158877 43768904 43928927