[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040027 COR
MNZ000-NDZ000-040200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 386...

VALID 040027Z - 040200Z

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE LIMITED/CONTINUALLY DIMINISHING IN
SEVERE WATCH 386 ACROSS ERN ND. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WW 386
MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 03Z. 

SATELLITE/VOLUMETRIC RADAR TRENDS OVER THE PAST HOUR OR TWO
INDICATIVE OF TSTMS STRUGGLING ACROSS ERN ND...PERHAPS NEGATIVELY
IMPACTED BY AREA BEING ON WRN PERIPHERY OF NRN/CNTRL MN MCV.
GIVEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER/LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND MEAGER
DYNAMIC ASCENT...UPSWING OF CONVECTIVE INTENSITY REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING APPEARS UNLIKELY ACROSS ERN ND. 00Z OBSERVED ABR/BIS RAOBS
PORTRAY MARGINAL INSTABILITY/RELATIVELY POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
IF MEAGER CONVECTIVE TRENDS PERSIST...WW 386 MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR
TO 03Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION.

..GUYER.. 06/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

48889969 49049854 48949704 46509691 46089701 46029888
46169942 47489957 

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