[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040024 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-040200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0724 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 386...

VALID 040024Z - 040200Z

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE LIMITED/CONTINUALLY DIMINISHING IN
SEVERE WATCH 386 ACROSS ERN ND. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WW 386
MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 03Z. 

SATELLITE/VOLUMETRIC RADAR TRENDS OVER THE PAST HOUR OR TWO
INDICATIVE OF TSTMS STRUGGLING ACROSS ERN ND...PERHAPS NEGATIVELY
IMPACTED BY AREA BEING ON WRN PERIPHERY OF NRN/CNTRL MN MCV.
GIVEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER/LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND MEAGER
DYNAMIC ASCENT...UPSWING OF CONVECTIVE INTENSITY REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING APPEARS UNLIKELY ACROSS ERN ND. 00Z OBSERVED ABR/BIS RAOBS
PORTRAY MARGINAL INSTABILITY/RELATIVELY POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
IF MEAGER CONVECTIVE TRENDS PERSIST...WW 386 MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR
TO 03Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION.

..GUYER.. 06/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN...

35239547 36409626 36739737 37559729 37669520 38479355
38079242 36639249 34479333 34469490 

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