[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031740
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031740 
COZ000-031945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031740Z - 031945Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS INVOF THE CO FRONT RANGE. ALTHOUGH NOT INITIALLY EXPECTED...A
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LATE THIS MORNING PORTRAYS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRANSITIONING EWD ACROSS UT. THIS FEATURE...COMBINED WITH INCREASING
ELY UPSLOPE TRAJECTORIES OWING TO DEEPENING SCNTRL CO SFC LOW...IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INVOF THE CO FRONT RANGE. STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES/SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL BULK SHEAR OF 30-35
KTS OR GREATER WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS WITH A LARGE HAIL
THREAT. IN ADDITION...WILL ALSO MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING
DENVER CYCLONE/ISOLD TORNADOES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. REMNANT LOW
CLOUDS OVER THE PLAINS...AND WAKE IMPACT OF UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE
TX/OK PANHANDLES...SUGGESTS THE INITIAL THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE CO HIGHER TERRAIN/FRONT RANGE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE
AFTERNOON.

..GUYER.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...

39400583 40710632 40890472 40810427 39910415 38250413
37430433 37380531 39030565 

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