[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031721
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031721 
OKZ000-KSZ000-031815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1139
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KS AND EXTREME NRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 031721Z - 031815Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN KS/EXTREME NRN OK THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN APPEARS MORE
LIKELY. NO WW IS ANTICIPATED.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK VORT MAX WAS LOCATED
NORTHEAST OF END MOVING NE AT 30-40 KT. STRONG STORMS WERE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. OTHER STORMS THAT REMAINED FROM LAST
NIGHTS MCS WERE LOCATED OVER EASTERN KS...WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
STRETCHING NW-SE TO THE NORTH OF ICT. THE AIR MASS IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...BUT CAPPED. HOWEVER...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
ELEVATED STORMS WITH A THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE STORMS
IN NRN OK ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE STORMS IN KS...WHICH WILL
WEAKEN THE UPDRAFTS TO THE STORMS. HOWEVER...THE STRONG LIFT OVER
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS. THE
MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS
TO RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL.

..IMY.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

38259574 38589782 38009922 37209920 36749773 36459719
36479612 36669495 37659462 

WWWW