[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031808
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031808 
SDZ000-NDZ000-032015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN PORTIONS OF ND/SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031808Z - 032015Z

TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN PORTIONS OF ND/SD. WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLD
HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPECTED...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SEVERE WATCH. 

ON PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE MT/SASKATCHEWAN BORDER AND
MCV MOVING INTO SW MN...HAIL/WIND THREAT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS CNTRL/ERN PORTIONS OF ND AND SD INVOF
OCCLUDED FRONT AND/OR DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY/WIND SHIFT.
CONSISTENT WITH DEEPENING CU FIELD IN VIS IMAGERY...MODIFIED 12Z
BIS/ABR RAOBS IN CONJUNCTION WITH OBJECTIVE MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS
MARGINAL/MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE AMIDST NEGLIGIBLE
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION -- INITIALLY CENTERED ALONG A HURON
SD-ABERDEEN SD-JAMESTOWN ND CORRIDOR. DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /35
KTS OR HIGHER/ WILL BE STRONGEST OVER ND/NRN SD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/INCREASE ACCORDINGLY THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLD THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..GUYER.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...

48670221 48799786 47929731 43709678 43179763 43319994
43790130 46670125 

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