[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031145 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-031315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 AM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN OK...SRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031145Z - 031315Z

SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NW TX AND WRN OK
OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. THE STORMS WILL MOVE NEWD WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE. A NEW WW MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED
ACROSS NM WITH RUC ANALYSIS SHOWING STRONG LIFT SPREADING EWD ACROSS
THE SRN PLAINS. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW SUBSTANTIAL
ELEVATED CAPE WITH MUCAPE VALUES OF 3000 TO 4000 J/KG MOSTLY ABOVE
700 MB. AS THE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH COMES OUT IN
INTO THE PLAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SCATTERED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEP LAYER
SHEAR OF 20 TO 25 KT AND THIS COMBINED WITH THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR MULTICELL SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE.

..BROYLES.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

33599888 33809980 34300027 35759965 37439827 37549730
37089671 36599655 35599716 

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