[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012037 
SCZ000-GAZ000-012200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1110
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/SRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 372...

VALID 012037Z - 012200Z

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM SFC LOW NEAR
COLUMBUS MS SEWD ACROSS CNTRL AL AND SRN GA. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
AND POOR LAPSE RATES ARE LIMITING INSTABILITY...WITH MLCAPE VALUES
ONLY AROUND 500-1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...SOME LOCATIONS HAVE WARMED INTO
THE LOW/MID 80S WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SE GA. MODIFIED FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ACTUAL SFC
INSTABILITY IS STRONGER THAN MODELS INDICATE. FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR COMBINED WITH OBSERVED THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS INDICATE THERE
IS STILL A THREAT OF TORNADOES...THOUGH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL WILL
LIKELY BE ALONG AND NORTH OF WARM FRONT...WHERE FLOW IS BACKED TO
THE E/SE PER SOUTH CAROLINA VAD WIND DATA.

..TAYLOR.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

31297991 30898330 31858330 32648309 32918164 33038003
31837986 

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