[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012117 
SDZ000-NEZ000-012245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1111
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0417 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SW SD/NW NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012117Z - 012245Z

...WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY FOR PORTIONS OF SW SD SOUTH OF WW 374
AND POSSIBLY THE NW PORTION OF THE NEB PANHANDLE...

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE NEW STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
INVOF OF CUSTER CO SD. 19Z SPECIAL SOUNDING FROM RAPID CITY SHOWED
NO CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 40-45 KT. SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
MOVING ACROSS THE BIG HORN MTNS WILL FURTHER INCREASE LARGE SCALE
FORCING AND ONLY IMPROVE THE ALREADY FAVORABLE SHEAR. ALTHOUGH
FORCING WILL EVENTUALLY TRANSITION TO A LINEAR MODE...INITIAL TSTM
MODE WILL BE SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES
POSSIBLE.

..TAYLOR.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...

42180207 41990381 44160405 44340050 42860053 42260067 

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