[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011231 
FLZ000-011400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 AM CDT WED JUN 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 370...

VALID 011231Z - 011400Z

MAINTAIN WW ALONG/AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE BAND -- INDICATED AT 1215Z
ROUGHLY FROM APF-VRB.

BEST ORGANIZED PORTION OF CONVECTIVE BAND ATTM HAS MOVED OFFSHORE
AND EXTENDS FROM VRB AREA NWD. THIS ACTIVITY PRODUCED SUBSEVERE
GUST OF 43 KT AT A BREVARD COUNTY BEACH WITHIN PAST HOUR.  AIR MASS
AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS FAVORABLY BUOYANT AND WEAKLY
CAPPED...SO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF MAIN
LINE...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION OF ACTIVITY WITHIN
IT.  STRONG TSTMS OVER GULF SW APF ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE
COLLIER COUNTY WITHIN NEXT HOUR AS WELL.  12Z MFL RAOB INDICATES
MLCAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG WITH SFC HEATING INTO LOWER 80S F. 
VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES WITH NWD/WWD EXTENT FROM THAT RAOB...BASED
ON PRE-STORM VWP AND RUC GUIDANCE ACROSS SWRN AND CENTRAL FL.

..EDWARDS.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

25978062 25988205 28468135 28477991 

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