[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011415
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011415 
FLZ000-011515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1105
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 AM CDT WED JUN 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 370...

VALID 011415Z - 011515Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 15Z.

CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE COLD POOL HAS STABILIZED BOUNDARY
LAYER ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...DIMINISHING SEVERE
THREAT ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WW 370.  WITH UPPER TROUGH
AXIS STILL UPSTREAM...STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER PALM BEACH
/BROWARD/DADE AND COLLIER COUNTIES COULD BECOME FOCUS FOR NEW
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS SEA BREEZES ENHANCE CONVERGENCE BY 16-18Z
TIME FRAME.  GIVEN BOUNDARY LAYER CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA COASTAL AREAS...VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL ARE LIKELY. 
HOWEVER...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED TO HIGHLY
LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS.

..KERR.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

28558128 28457989 26058057 25968204 28478137 

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