[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 222217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222217 
MTZ000-IDZ000-230015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0517 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ID / WRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222217Z - 230015Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK
CONVECTION ALONG COLD FRONT. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVING OUT OF WA INTO NWRN ID...WITH STRONG FALLS AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT OVER NRN ID AND WRN MT. HIGHER THETA-E AIR HAS BEEN RETURNING
NWD AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING QUICKLY OVER WRN
MT LAST COUPLE HOURS.

ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK...FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MAY ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTION...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.

..JEWELL.. 07/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...MSO...BOI...OTX...

44971615 46161566 47581635 48371451 48961239 46981219
45451260 45181438 

WWWW