[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 091550
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091550 
FLZ000-091745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 627...

VALID 091550Z - 091745Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER MOST OF THE
FL PENINSULA. THE GREATEST THREAT NEXT FEW HOURS APPEARS TO BE OVER
SRN AND CNTRL FL...BUT THE GREATER THREAT WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND NWD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

LATE THIS MORNING THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED ABOUT
160 MI OFF THE S FL COAST AND IS MOVING NWWD AT AROUND 12 KT. SEE
LATEST DISCUSSIONS FROM NHC FOR MORE INFORMATION ON DENNIS. OUTER
RAINBANDS FROM DENNIS ARE LIFTING NWD THROUGH SRN AND S CNTRL FL AND
WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO CNTRL FL THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG LOW LEVEL
SHEAR EXISTS NE OF THE CENTER OVER MUCH OF SRN FL WITH ELY LOW LEVEL
FLOW VEERING AND INCREASING TO 50+ KT THROUGH 1 KM. SATELLITE DATA
IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME BREAKS BETWEEN THE BANDS WHICH WILL AID IN
SURFACE HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. STORMS MAY THEREFORE UNDERGO
SOME INTENSIFICATION DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH MAY ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..DIAL.. 07/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

24748114 25918164 27218256 27958257 28008176 25817982 

WWWW