[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 090025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090025 
FLZ000-090230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1708
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0725 PM CDT FRI JUL 08 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FLORIDA KEYS/SRN FLORIDA PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 625...

VALID 090025Z - 090230Z

TORNADO WATCH 625 CONTINUES UNTIL 09Z FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS/SRN FAR
FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MINI-SUPERCELL/ISOLD TORNADO POTENTIAL
INCREASING REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

AS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO PROGRESS NW FROM WRN CUBA INTO THE
SE GULF OF MEXICO...OUTER BAND ASSOCIATED POTENTIAL FOR
MINI-SUPERCELLS/ISOLD TORNADOES EXPECTED TO INCREASE REMAINDER OF
THE EVENING ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND SRN FL PENINSULA.
MIAMI/KEY WEST WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILES REFLECT A STEADY INCREASE
IN LOW TO MID LEVEL ELY FLOW SINCE THE AFTERNOON...WITH 50-65 KTS
ALREADY EVIDENT IN 1-4 KM LAYER AS OF 00Z. IN CONJUNCTION WITH 00Z
MFL /MIAMI/ AND EYW /KEY WEST/ RAOBS...0-1 KM BULK SHEAR IS NOW ON
THE ORDER OF 30 KTS ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 625.

ALTHOUGH VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA HAS ONLY SHOWN LIMITED INDICATIONS OF
LOW LEVEL ROTATION AS OF EARLY EVENING...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
SHEAR/CONFLUENCE WITHIN OUTER BANDS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED POTENTIAL
FOR STORM ROTATION/ISOLD TORNADOES REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. WILL MONITOR TRENDS INTO THE OVERNIGHT FOR
NECESSITY OF NORTHWARD EXPANSION/REISSUANCE OF TORNADO WATCH ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE SRN FL PENINSULA.

..GUYER.. 07/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...EYW...TBW...

25057999 24428091 24368203 25388235 26378258 26818226
26878162 26167962 

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