[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 080356
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080356 
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-080530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1702
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1056 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL NC...SRN MD...ERN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 624...

VALID 080356Z - 080530Z

BROAD FRONTAL WAVE CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE NEWD THROUGH SCNTRL VA
WITH WARM CONVEYOR PCPN BAND FROM SRN MD TO ERN NC.  HODOGRAPH BASED
ON WAKEFIELD VWP CONTINUES TO SHOW IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL CURVATURE
WITH 0-1KM SHEAR AOA 30 KTS.  THE WIND PROFILE HAS ALSO IMPROVED
SOMEWHAT AS FAR NORTH AS STERLING.  

RADAR LOOPS SEEM TO SHOW A SUB-SYNOPTIC SCALE CIRCULATION VCNTY KRIC
AND THE STRONGER TSTMS SEEM TO BE FAVORING THIS FEATURE. 
EXTRAPOLATION HAS THESE STORMS MOVING UP THE ROUTE 360 CORRIDOR
TOWARD SRN MD/MOUTH OF THE POTOMAC THROUGH 06Z.  
 
THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS ERN VA AND SRN MD THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW.  THE POTENTIAL WILL BE DECREASING ACROSS
NORTH CAROLINA AND SCNTRL VA AS THE FLOW REGIME VEERS WITH TIME.

..RACY.. 07/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...

35967896 38287741 38297526 35837707 

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