[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 071633
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071633 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-071830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT THU JUL 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN SC THROUGH WRN AND CNTRL NC AND SWRN THROUGH S
CNTRL VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 618...

VALID 071633Z - 071830Z

THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH
BEST POTENTIAL EXPECTED FROM WRN/W CNTRL NC THROUGH SW VA NEXT FEW
HOURS.

LATE THIS MORNING A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF T.S.
CINDY WAS LOCATED OVER SWRN NC AND IS MOVING SLOWLY NEWD. WARM FRONT
EXTENDS NEWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH NCNTRL NC. STRONGEST LOW LEVEL
SHEAR EXISTS ACROSS WRN NC INTO SWRN VA JUST NE OF THE LOW CENTER
ALONG AND N OF THE WARM FROM WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE BACKED
TO ELY. THIS AXIS OF STRONG SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NEWD THIS
AFTERNOON INTO N CNTRL NC AND S CNTRL VA. PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND
CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM WRN NC SWD THROUGH WRN SC. GREATEST TORNADO
POTENTIAL WITH STORMS WITHIN THIS BAND WILL BE AS STORMS LIFT NWD
AND INTERACT WITH THE ENHANCED SHEAR ALONG AND N OF THE WARM FRONT.
VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS AN AREA OF CLEARING SPREADING NWD THROUGH
MUCH OF CNTRL NC E OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND. INCREASED SURFACE HEATING
AND DESTABILIZATION SUGGEST STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
INTENSIFY FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON.

..DIAL.. 07/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...GSP...

36938023 36587907 35638042 34798191 35368230 36368135 

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