[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 071243
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071243 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-071315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1688
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT THU JUL 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN GA INTO WRN/CENTRAL PORTIONS OF SC/NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 617...

VALID 071243Z - 071315Z

NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED SOON TO REPLACE VALID PORTION OF WW
617 AND EXTEND ENE INTO NC.

LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS COMBINED WITH SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTED THE CENTER OF T.D. CINDY WAS LOCATED OVER NRN GA /TO THE N
OF ATL/ WITH A CONTINUED NEWD TRACK EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS FAR WRN
NC.  A WARM/STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED EWD FROM CINDY TO WRN SC NEAR
ANDERSON... AND THEN EXTENDED NEWD ALONG THE PIEDMONT REGION OF
SC/NC INTO CENTRAL VA. AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION IS UNDER WAY ACROSS
CENTRAL/ERN SC INTO PARTS OF NC...GENERALLY ALONG/E OF THE WARM
FRONT. THIS DESTABILIZATION COMBINED WITH 55 KT OF SWLY MID LEVEL
FLOW OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS...SUPPORTING STRONG EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS...IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASING
TREND IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OVER SC/NC.  DISCRETE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
STRENGTHENING DOWNSTREAM OF CINDY INTO NC FOR A CONTINUED THREAT OF
TORNADOES.

..PETERS.. 07/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...FFC...

33288174 33118236 33328310 34118287 34848284 35188303
35578215 36258112 36588025 36507891 36007858 34557954
33348087 

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