[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061823
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061823 
LAZ000-TXZ000-062030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1674
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0123 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061823Z - 062030Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING WIND THE
PRIMARY THREAT. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING WWD ACROSS SERN TX
WITH A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL TX. THE AIR MASS
HAS BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG AND
MAY DESTABILIZE FURTHER WITH HEATING. WITH NO CIN PRESENT...STORMS
WILL LIKELY FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS DUE TO LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND/OR WITHIN DEEPENING SFC
TROUGH. AREA PROFILERS INDICATE WEAK SHEAR PROFILES...THUS PULSE
TYPE CONVECTION WILL BE LIKELY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS GIVEN VERY WARM AND DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER.

..JEWELL.. 07/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

29699382 29369485 29209555 29069706 29089819 29509876
30119917 30369796 30839706 31249673 31839673 32239730
32829726 33069706 32749534 32239421 31689420 

WWWW