[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061852
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061851 
NMZ000-TXZ000-062015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1675
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL INTO SERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061851Z - 062015Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST WITH
STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM. 

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WITH ADDITIONAL DEEPENING CUMULUS E OF 4CR.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS LARGELY IN THE 50S
HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. PROFILERS FROM TUCUMCARI AND WHITE
SANDS INDICATE THAT VERTICAL SHEAR DECREASES CONSIDERABLY WITH SWD
EXTENT...SUGGESTING STORMS SHOULD REMAIN MULTICELLULAR AND GENERALLY
DISORGANIZED. THE STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS...HOWEVER ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW OWING TO THE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR.

..MEAD.. 07/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

32030575 33930570 34880552 35060492 34840385 33340377
31940417 31850488 

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