[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052306
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052306 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-060030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1663
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0606 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS...OK/TX PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052306Z - 060030Z

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS PARTS OF WRN KS...AND
PERHAPS PORTIONS OF THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES...WITHIN THE HOUR.

A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH CRESTING THE BROAD UPR RIDGE
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS HAS AGAIN SUPPORTED
WIDESPREAD TSTM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
ACROSS ERN CO THIS EVENING. A MASS OF DEEP CONVECTION RESULTING FROM
NUMEROUS STORM MERGERS FROM WRN CHEYENNE COUNTY SWWD TO PUEBLO
COUNTY CO WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A DEEPENING COLD POOL WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT ESEWD TOWARD KS AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. MESOSCALE LIFT ALONG THE EDGE OF THE COLD POOL
COUPLED WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND SUPPORTIVE DEEP LAYER FLOW FOR
FORWARD PROPAGATION WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
SOME HAIL WITH THIS COMPLEX. THEREFORE...A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED SHORTLY.

..CARBIN.. 07/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

35800006 35810218 39340202 39259986 

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