[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 032223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032222 
NEZ000-COZ000-040015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1623
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO AND SWRN NEB/SRN NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 032222Z - 040015Z

A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING ACROSS NERN CO AND
ADJACENT AREAS OF THE SRN NEB PANHANDLE/SWRN NEB. LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED SOON.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF ERN CO IN
ASSOCIATION WITH MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMERGING EWD FROM THE
FRONT RANGE. SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS
SRN NEB...NEAR I-80 CORRIDOR. AIR MASS HAS GRADUALLY RECOVERED
ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN NEB AS CLOUD REMNANTS FROM MORNING MCS HAVE
ADVECTED EAST OF THE REGION. GIVEN 100MB MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500
J/KG ACROSS SWRN NEB AND MINIMAL CINH...ONGOING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EWD IN VICINITY OF COLD FRONT ACROSS SWRN NEB DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS SUGGEST THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WITH STRONGER STORMS. WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW
FIELDS AND MARGINALLY LARGE SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS SHOULD
MINIMIZE TORNADO POTENTIAL.

..BANACOS.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

41240362 40330375 40050215 40159883 41399874 

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