[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 032303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032302 
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-040100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1624
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IA...SERN MN....SWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 032302Z - 040100Z

STORMS MAY INCREASE ALONG/AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS NRN
IA AND SRN MN...WAS WELL AS SWRN WI...OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE
IS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING OVERALL STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BUT
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A WATCH.

ISOLATED STORM HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS WORTH COUNTY IN NCNTRL
IA. THIS CELL APPEARS TO BE ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA
FROM THE WEST. VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN IA WAS FEEDING INTO THIS ACTIVITY AND
ADDITIONAL STORMS SHOULD FORM ON THE FRONT AS IT MOVES EAST THROUGH
THE EVENING. MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
AS WIND MAX NOTED IN PROFILER DATA OVER NEB MOVES EAST. WHILE MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT HAVE LIMITED DOWNSTREAM
INSTABILITY...SUFFICIENT FORCING AND SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE
FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL AND HIGH WINDS OVER A
SMALL CORRIDOR. IF STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT AND
APPEAR TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY...A SMALL WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
OVER PARTS OF THE REGION.

..CARBIN.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...

41779406 43659334 44369303 45009077 42199162 

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