[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031836
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031836 
KSZ000-COZ000-032000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1619
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO/SWRN INTO S-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031836Z - 032000Z

SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY
TO THE S OF WW 588 BY 20-21Z AND AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

18Z DDC SOUNDING INDICATES A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPES OF
2500-3000 J/KG/ THIS AFTERNOON TO THE S OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TRAILING
FROM SUPERCELL OVER RUSH COUNTY WWD THROUGH SCOTT COUNTY AND THEN
MORE NWWD INTO E-CNTRL CO /SW OF GLD/. A CONSIDERABLE CAP STILL
EXISTS...HOWEVER CONTINUED DIABATIC HEATING COUPLED WITH CONVERGENCE
ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND SEVERAL OTHER OBSERVED MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING MID/HIGH-LEVEL FLOW DOWNSTREAM FROM CNTRL
ROCKIES SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

A NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS S OF WW
588.

..MEAD.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...PUB...

38050273 37919780 37009774 37020265 

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