[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 022145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022144 
LAZ000-MSZ000-022315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN/SERN LA AND SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 578...579...

VALID 022144Z - 022315Z

CONTINUE WW 578...WW 579. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD END ACROSS WW
578 WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS BOW ECHO CONTINUES ESEWD INTO
ERN/SERN LA AND SRN MS. DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.

AT 2135Z...BOW ECHO EXTENDING FROM FRANKLIN PARISH LA TO WILKINSON
COUNTY MS SWWD TO FAR SWRN LA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A
MODERATELY STRONG MESOSCALE COLD POOL. CURRENT LINE MOTION OF
280/30-35KT NEAR BOW APEX SHOULD MAINTAIN THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS
ACROSS FAR SRN MS INTO SERN LA DURING THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS. DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS REMAINS FAVORABLE TO MAINTAIN MCS...WITH MINIMAL CINH AND
100MB MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-3000 J/KG. FORWARD SPEED OF SYSTEM IS
SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...HOWEVER...VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS
AND INSTABILITY WILL ENHANCE THREAT OF LOCALIZED WET MICROBURSTS
WITH STRONGER CELLS ALONG FORWARD EDGE OF BOW ECHO. CONTINUED
STABILIZATION IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD END SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL LA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...CONCLUDING
SEVERE THREAT ACROSS WW 578.

..BANACOS.. 07/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

30469305 31989236 32239211 32349178 31768934 29768941
29848984 

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