[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021933
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021933 
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-022100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR E-CENTRAL TX...CENTRAL/ERN LA... AND SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 578...

VALID 021933Z - 022100Z

CONTINUE WW. AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED SOON FOR AREAS EAST WW 578...TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ERN LA
AND SRN MS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. 

BOW ECHO ACROSS W-CENTRAL LA SWWD INTO FAR E-CENTRAL TX WILL
CONTINUE ESEWD AT 25-30KT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AIR MASS
REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE DOWNSTREAM OF MCS...WITH 100MB MLCAPE VALUES
OF 2500-3500 J/KG. STRONG COLD POOL AND VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUSTAIN LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND THREAT ESEWD INTO
ERN LA AND SRN MS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE POTENTIAL IS
ANTICIPATED EAST OF WW 578 AREA BY 2130Z...SUGGESTING THAT AN
ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON.

..BANACOS.. 07/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...

30499474 31059404 31579336 32289304 32459275 32439200
32139001 31878941 31268948 30728967 30338996 30119036
30129131