[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021506
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021506 
LAZ000-TXZ000-021700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1593
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 AM CDT SAT JUL 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...E CENTRAL TX INTO W CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021506Z - 021700Z

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY FOR THIS AREA SHORTLY.

BOWING SEGMENT ASSOCIATED WITH LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
MOVING THRU HENDERSON COUNTY AT THIS TIME.  MLCAPE S OF THIS
ACTIVITY RANGES FROM 1500-3000 J/KG...AND THE ACTIVITY IS MOVING EWD
 ALONG THE GRADIENT OF INSTABILITY.  LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS
STRONG PRESSURE RISES OF 2.4 MB/2 HOURS BEHIND THE CLUSTER
INDICATING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SMALL COLD POOL WHICH WOULD INDICATE
AN INCREASE IN SPEED/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL NEXT FEW HOURS. 
ACTIVITY IS ALSO MOVING ALONG A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE WHICH WILL
AID IN IT CONTINUED PROPAGATION EWD INTO W CENTRAL LA.

..MCCARTHY.. 07/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

31649576 32089573 32779513 32669396 32479275 32129201
31729207 31369221 31029279 31349443 31459546 

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