[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Sun Jan 30 00:00:58 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 300003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300002 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-WVZ000-GAZ000-300600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NERN GA / NRN SC / MUCH OF CENTRAL NC / SRN
VA

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 300002Z - 300600Z

FREEZING RAIN WILL INCREASE FROM EXTREME NERN GA ACROSS NRN
SC...CENTRAL NC AND SRN VA.  HRLY RATES UP TO 0.25" WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST AND LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER SC
/ NC AND VA THIS EVENING AS POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES.
SURFACE FREEZING LINE IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH AS WARM / MOIST
AIR LIFTS ABOVE SURFACE INVERSION.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS YIELD INCREASING INSTABILITY OVER PORTIONS OF SC
AND NC AS LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION CONTINUES BENEATH MID LEVEL
COOLING.  AS A RESULT...SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY BURSTS OF FREEZING RAIN. THE
HEAVIEST FREEZING RAIN RATES WILL BE OVER SC AND NC...WHERE ELEVATED
INSTABILITY IS GREATEST. LOCAL HOURLY RATES IN EXCESS OF 0.25" WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

..JEWELL.. 01/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...FFC...

35168272 35638209 36348165 36938155 37218137 37568119
37868112 38298072 38297971 38237744 37997708 37097761
36407790 35867837 35387882 34987912 34837964 34168050
33838154 33718230 33728263 34188295 34778304 

WWWW





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