[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140726 
NCZ000-SCZ000-140900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NC AND NCNTRL SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 15...

VALID 140726Z - 140900Z

THE TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WT 15. 
THREAT MAY SPREAD EWD INTO ERN NC LATER THIS MORNING AND AN
ADDITIONAL WW POSSIBLE.

06Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A 1009 MB LOW OVER NWRN NC.  STRONGEST
PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BEEN LOCATED OVER VA...BUT IT APPEARS THAT
ANOTHER MESOLOW MAY BE FORMING OVER SCNTRL SC. THIS WILL MOVE NEWD
INTO CNTRL NC THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY AID IN THE BACKING OF THE
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS. 0-1KM SRH IS ALREADY EXTREME WITH VWPS
SHOWING AROUND 350-400 M2/S2 ACROSS CNTRL NC.  INSTABILITY...ALBEIT
LOW...IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED TSTM THREAT AND SHOULD
NOT BE A LIMITING FACTOR IN A CONTINUED TORNADO THREAT.  

LINE OF STORMS WILL BE MOVING INTO CNTRL/ERN NC AFTER 10Z AND IT IS
POSSIBLE ANOTHER WW WILL BE NEEDED FARTHER EAST.

..RACY.. 01/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

34278076 35728030 36508019 36507805 36387741 35587736
34167811 34217919 

WWWW