[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140722
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140722 COR
FLZ000-140815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 140722Z - 140815Z

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL FL THIS MORNING.

SHEAR PROFILES IN THE LOW-LEVELS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR TORNADOES
ACROSS NRN/CNTRL FL THIS MORNING WITH SRH VALUES OF 150-200 M2/S2.
LIMITING FACTOR SEEMS TO BE MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND A NEAR SURFACE
STABLE LAYER PER RUC SOUNDINGS.  HOWEVER...AS UPSTREAM UPPER SPEED
MAX...NOW OVER THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO...APPROACHES...TSTMS MAY
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OFFSHORE AND THEN MOVE EWD INTO CNTRL FL/NRN FL
LATER THIS MORNING.  HIGHEST THREAT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS AND
POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE FROM THE TAMPA BAY
AREA EWD.

A WW MAY BE NEEDED IF STORMS SHOW SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION.

..RACY.. 01/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

27248279 28178281 28638194 29198186 29568142 29388092
28698047 27588094 27178158 26758221 

WWWW