[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021214 
MIZ000-021415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0009
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0614 AM CST SUN JAN 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

VALID 021214Z - 021415Z

FREEZING RAIN...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND SNOW...WILL END BY
1400/1430Z ACROSS THE NERN PORTIONS OF LOWER MI AS TEMPERATURES WARM
ABOVE FREEZING.

AT 12Z...A BAND OF CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION STRETCHED FROM NEAR HTL
SWWD TO NEAR MKG AND WAS MOVING ENEWD AT 45 KT. THIS CURRENT MOTION
WOULD PUSH THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION EAST OF MI BY 14Z. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ACROSS MOST OF
LOWER MI...WITH MID AND UPPER 40S LOCATED ACROSS SWRN LOWER MI.
STRONG WARM ADVECTION ABOVE AND WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS AIDED
IN SHIFTING THE FREEZING LINE NEWD.  HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR FREEZING AS THE HEAVIER WINTER PRECIPITATION MOVES
THROUGH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO FROM NEAR MBS TO HTL TO OSC.

THE STRONG WARMING WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD RAISE READINGS
ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE REST OF NERN LOWER MI WITH THE FREEZING
RAIN THREAT COMING TO AN END BY 1430Z.

..IMY.. 01/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

44428539 45158334 44678327 43728386 43788526 

WWWW