[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 241304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241304 
TXZ000-241430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0230
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 AM CST THU FEB 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS TX COASTAL PLAIN AND ADJACENT WATERS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 38...39...

VALID 241304Z - 241430Z

CONTINUE WW 39 ALONG AND E OF MCS.  REMAINDER WW 38 PROBABLY WILL BE
CANCELED SOON. POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE CONVECTION SHOULD BE OUT OF WW
39 BEFORE 16Z...SO IT ALSO MIGHT BE CANCELED BEFORE EXPIRATION.

MCS AND EMBEDDED BOW ECHO WILL CONTINUE MOVING EWD AND ESEWD ACROSS
TX COAST FROM SW OF GLS TO EXTREME NRN PADRE ISLAND.  SRN PORTION OF
MCS LIES MAINLY BEHIND ITS OWN GUST FRONT...AND NEWER ACTIVITY
DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN PORTIONS DUVAL/JIM WELLS COUNTIES SHOULD BE
UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW FROM MCS.  GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE ATTM
APPEARS TO BE OVER NRN PORTION OF THIS AREA --
MATAGORDA/BRAZORIA/WHARTON COUNTIES -- INVOF BOW ECHO. 
ALSO...SECONDARY BOW HAS DEVELOPED SOMEWHAT FARTHER NE OVER FT BEND
COUNTY...IN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY SHALLOW/STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE.  ISOLATED SEVERE MAY OCCUR WITH
LATTER FEATURE...BUT WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM GIVEN LIMITED LAND AREA
LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED.

..EDWARDS.. 02/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

29459887 29449682 28139683 28149890 

29359610 30189536 29689455 29499448 28879460 28459516
29289513 

29329681 29299516 28139518 28149681 

WWWW