[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 222228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222227 
TXZ000-NMZ000-230030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0427 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222227Z - 230030Z

TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS
INVOF OF BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM TCC/AMA/SPS. LATEST VAD WIND DATA
FROM AMA SHOWS SIGNIFICANT DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 50 KT.
AIRMASS AHEAD OF APPROACHING BOUNDARY HAS WARMED INTO THE LOWER 60S
TO LOWER 70S NEAR MAF. SBCAPE VALUES RANGE FROM 500-1000 J/KG NEAR
THE FRONT...WITH HIGHER VALUES FARTHER SOUTH. ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL
HAVE A TENDENCY TO BE UNDERCUT...STRONG SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ROTATING
UPDRAFTS WHERE STORMS ARE ABLE TO FORM SUPPORTING A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL.

..TAYLOR.. 02/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

35490348 34530313 32950269 31730246 31690111 32919988
34000015 35110051 35750240